All indicators are pointing to the fact that we are about to enter a world where Colorado’s favorite alleged former sex worker, Lauren Boebert, will not make it through the primaries. With recent polling showing her in fifth place out of ten Republican candidates for Colorado’s 4th District, it seems that Boebert’s political career in the Centennial state is about to come to an end.

To be honest, I’m surprised it hasn’t happened sooner.

For years, Boebert has openly shown a complete lack of class when it comes to being an American political leader. Between her childish fighting with other congressional embarrassment Marjorie Taylor Greene to the whole “Beetlejuice grope-fest,” Boebert has consistently given voters a reason to kick her ass out of office.

But why now? Was her moving to another district really that massive of a death knell to her campaign?

Well, yes and no …

Sure, there has been major backlash over her decision to move her campaign from the 3rd District to the 4th, but that’s only one element of many to be found at the base of this collapse. In reality, the last six months have seen Boebert make a series of massive mistakes that have become the catalyst of her political demise.

Beginning in the fall of 2023, two facts came to light that started the pendulum on its negative trajectory.

The first involved a scandal that put Boebert in hot water when it was revealed she had been using a loophole in the system to use taxpayer money to run political attack ads.

In one of the ads, she attacked Rocky Mountain Values—a group that had made many public claims that Boebert doesn’t care about veterans. At the end of the ad it reads “Paid for by official funds by the House of Representatives.” 

This means the ad was paid for by you, the taxpayer, through the use of her “franked mail” budget.

Franked mail is traditionally used when politicians send information via standard mail. For example, former Democratic Congressman Ed Perlmutter sent his constituents a flyer in the mail touting the Inflation Reduction Act and saying goodbye.

The loophole comes from the fact that for something to be tagged as “franked mail” it does not require a stamp, rather, only the signature of the member of Congress. This means there’s no real difference whether the ad comes in paper form or a video found on YouTube. In other words, you could be a die-hard liberal and your tax money is going to trash your favorite candidate.

The second event to take place during this time period that also helped kick off her decline came about when polling showed that her then-opponent Adam Frisch was leading in the race. Not only that, he had also significantly beat her when it came to fundraising.

After repeatedly trailing in the polls, Boebert began 2024 by announcing her switch to run for Congress in Colorado’s 4th District. Unfortunately for Boebert and her campaign, this would be the only thing resembling a positive headline for the candidate during January.  

Around the same time as the announcement, she made a massive public gaffe when, during a candidate forum held by the Baca Country Republicans, one member of the group made a statement about Baca County seceding and becoming a part of the Texas Republic. Upon hearing this, Boebert chimed in by saying “in Northern Colorado we tried.” 

Yes, you read that right. Lauren Boebert claims that under her leadership there was a concerted effort to remove parts of Northern Colorado—ones that aren’t even geographically viable—and transfer “ownership” of them to Texas.

The last embarrassing display that happened in January I want to focus on has an incredibly familiar feeling to it. Does a public disturbance call over Lauren’s inappropriate public physical displays ring a bell? This time, unlike what happened last time at the aforementioned “Beetlejuice grope-fest,” the police would be responding for a much more nefarious reason; an act of physical violence.

Authorities were called to the Miner’s Claim restaurant in Silt over claims that Jayson Boebert had been punched in the face by Lauren during an altercation the two were having. After speaking with the police, Jayson later said he regretted calling the authorities, stating he would ask the police to drop any charges.

Lauren later apologized for her behavior in a statement that read in part, “There’s no perfect blueprint for going through a public and difficult divorce.” She continued, “I’ve tried to handle it with strength and grace as best I can, but simply fell short of my values on Sunday. That’s unacceptable and I’m sorry.”

Everyone can see the writing on the wall when it comes to Boebert’s future in politics—she’s done. And everyone can also see her impending loss as having been manifested through her own acts of incompetence and little else.

That thought is only half-right …

As much as I detest Lauren Boebert, there is a (very) miniscule part of me that feels bad for her. It’s the part of me that realizes a majority of her actions are a direct reflection of the party that made her a household name on the political scene.

During this century the Republican party has built their entire identity on winning at any cost, all while being done with the least amount of self-awareness on full display. No matter how horrible the ethical or legal fallout might be from their actions, at the end of the day, it always comes down to pushing their agenda on everyone.

Boebert is no different.

Once she realized she wasn’t going to win the 3rd District, she hauled ass to (what she thought would be) greener pastures. It didn’t matter that everyone could see this as “political carpetbagging” because political carpetbagging was a tactic the GOP had already perfected—remember when they constantly changed the time requirements for seating Supreme Court justices during the Obama and Trump administrations, allowing for a GOP-packed court?

So yes, at the end of the day, Lauren Boebert is going to see her political career end because she followed the playbook that was provided to her by her party. Too bad not every Republican that follows this playbook will fall flat on their faces as spectacularly as our little Laurey Boo-Boo has.